There seems no end in sight for the growth in Orlando Florida. Over 1.35 million people have made Florida their home over the past 4 years. There were 400,000 new arrivals in 2004 alone! What’s driving this unprecedented expansion?
Some might think its retirees and others may think it’s the growing job market. In this case both would be right, including a few factors you may not have realized:
First: More jobs! Florida experienced strong job growth opportunities during recent
years. Not only the growth but the variety of jobs has been very broad. Strong job growth led to good income gains with personal income going up 8.4% during the past year. This kind of employment market has attracted job seekers from other states, resulting in…you guessed it, more people!
Second: We are experiencing the result of retiring baby boomers. The aging of the generation born between 1945 and 1965 has fueled an increase of retirees, second home buying and homeownership.
Third: The ever constant fact, a warm climate attracts people who want a vacation, a nice place to retire or nice atmosphere for raising a family.
So where will all the new arrivals in Central Florida live? With the latest statistics showing approximately 1000 people per day moving to Florida, it might seem that another housing shortage will occur. While there is no shortage of homes currently, the market will always be active as families move in or out for various reasons.
There has also been a huge increase in the purchase of secondary homes or vacation homes. Vacation homes make a significant portion of home sales annually. However, the owners of those homes might surprise you as many are foreign investors. In fact the
National Association of Realtors showed 15% of homes sales in 2004 were
made by international home buyers.
When you combine all of these factors with previous years low interest rates you get an interesting result. Home prices went up, way up! Florida experienced dramatic gains in home prices with the median price going up 105% over the past 5 years. For example, a house bought in 2001 for $100K is worth about $220K or more right now.
New and larger homes sales also skyrocketed as people realized they could afford more home for their money. This was especially true starting in 2003 when record low mortgage rates fueled a new home development craze. Investors and private owners were able take advantage of affordable financing and increasing home values.
As a result, The Orlando area has a higher than average amount of available homes in inventory today. This is a great situation for home buyers who are facing higher interest rates and need to bargain their way into affordability by nudging the sales price down.
This bargaining will slow home appreciation values but it will not cause a drop in overall home prices. Why? Because the constant demand for homes is not decreasing. The market is simply slowing temporarily with thousands more each year looking to make Central Florida their home because of the warmer climate, attractions and job opportunities.